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what are the odds?

what are the odds of a clamp tubleligaton  coming on done after 15 years?
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1317685 tn?1274967379
I can happen! Mine came unloose after 3! Had my third child after that.
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377493 tn?1356502149
I am not certain what the odds are, but my understanding is that it is not overly common. I know it happens though.
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